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Even poll-savvy people sometimes misrepresent the margin: After the 2016 election, one political scientist wrote an article about polling lapses for The Conversation, a portal for writing by ...
June 23 -16: Trump’s approval rating dipped one point, to 41%, in a Reuters/Ipsos survey of 1,139 U.S. adults taken June ...
"The polling industry is going through what I would call a paradigm shift, where we're moving from the types of methods that worked 30, 40 years ago and don't really work anymore," Smith said.
Those results were within our poll’s margin of error, meaning we were correct to declare it “too close to call” — and we would have been wrong to say Clinton was ahead.
Those results were within our poll's margin of error, meaning we were correct to declare it "too close to call" — and we would have been wrong to say Clinton was ahead.
Matt Drudge blew the ram’s horn early Tuesday morning: “Congressional Approval Rating Falls to Single Digits for First Time Ever.” Within minutes, the conservative group Freedom’s Watch ...
Note that with a ± 4% margin of error, polls predicted that the Conservatives could expect anywhere from 39% to 47% of the vote, while Labour could expect 29% to 37% of the vote. What do confidence ...
It also matters how a pollster phrases and orders questions, and whether it's a phone interview, in-person interview, or online survey. Even the interviewer's tone of voice can matter.
The results of polls usually contain a statement that the figures are subject to a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points, 3 percentage points or whatever.