Inflation, tariffs
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Traders are paring bets on near-term rate cuts, and Treasury bond yields are edging higher, amid stubborn underlying inflation pressures tied to the president’s myriad tariffs. Trump himself said through his social media account that borrowing costs should be “3 points” lower. “One Trillion Dollars a year would be saved,” he declared.
Federal Reserve governor Adriana Kugler said the Fed should hold interest rates steady for a while to come, because new trade barriers are likely to spark more inflation in the months ahead. Speaking at a housing conference in Washington,
Inflation rose last month to its highest level since February as President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs push up the cost of a range of goods, including furniture, clothing, and large appliances.
The report on producer prices adds to a mixed picture for inflation as the economy adjusts to the imposition of import tariffs.
Wall Street digested a surprisingly cool wholesale inflation reading and more big bank earnings, with one eye on Trump's latest tariff moves.
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Factory-gate prices held steady in June, surprising economists. The producer-price index was flat last month, the Labor Department said, missing forecasts for a 0.2% rise. The index rose by a revised 0.
Current tariff collections equate to 0.1% monthly inflation, aligning with recent CPI data. See why I’m skeptical that tariffs will lead to widespread inflation.
Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was unexpectedly hot, showing a 0.3% increase month-over-month and a 2.7% rise year-over-year. In response, markets fell from recent highs. This is likely due to investors reassessing the likelihood of near-term interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.