Economists have also lowered their recession probability scores, although that has done little to dull many recession indicators. Goldman Sachs economists cut their probability of a recession over the ...

The U.S. has not been in an economic recession since 2022. The last recession was in 2020, at the very start of the COVID-19 pandemic. The National Bureau of Economic Research, a nonprofit, ...

Real economic growth in the United States contracted 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025. Although that's an initial estimate, that's a remarkable development because it comes in the middle of a period ...

There are certain words you don’t want to hear in a medical checkup or in an investment bank’s recession outlook: “stable but elevated.” It’s a phrase that could refer to blood pressure, even risk of ...

The new US-China trade thaw hasn't shaken Wall Street's biggest bear. "We continue to see a recession as our base case. Although tariffs have come down, the effective US tariff rate is still the ...

(Reuters) -Goldman Sachs on Thursday trimmed its U.S. recession probability to 30% from 35% for the next twelve months on easing uncertainty around President Donald Trump's tariff policies after the U ...

The number of companies mentioning the term "recession" when discussing their financial results has shot up to its highest level since 2022. According to a study by financial data firm FactSet, of the ...

With tariffs taking effect, many economists are raising the probability of a recession in the coming year. Even if we do face an economic downturn, the right strategy can protect your portfolio.